FunnelHound / Guides / Keyword search volume
App Store keyword search volume: what the popularity score really means
Uncomfortable truth first: Apple publishes no search counts. Anywhere. For anyone. The only demand signal from inside the house is the Apple Search Ads popularity score, 5–100, and every "12,400 monthly searches" you've ever seen in a tool is a model's estimate of that score wearing a confident font.
Reading the 5–100 scale without getting fooled
Three properties matter. The floor is 5, not 0: a 5 spans everything from "nobody has ever typed this" to "a dozen people once did", so a 5 tells you almost nothing except don't bet the title on it. The scale compresses upward: behavior is logarithmic-ish, so 60→70 represents far more additional searches than 20→30, and the 90s are a different universe occupied by "instagram" and "whatsapp". It's relative, not absolute: perfect for ranking two candidate keywords against each other, useless for forecasting installs. The practitioner band worth knowing: sustainable indie targets usually live around 10–50 (real demand, beneath the giants' radar), the same popularity-versus-difficulty math the keyword tools automate.
Where the "monthly searches" numbers come from
Third-party tools take Apple's score, blend their own panels, ad data and category models, and print an absolute number. Some models are decent; none are measurements. The tell: different tools confidently disagree about the same keyword by 5×, which is fine once you treat the numbers as the score, re-costumed, and compare only within one tool. What you never do is arbitrage between tools ("tool A says 3,000, tool B says 15,000, so B's keyword is better"). That's comparing two costumes and calling it research.
The free demand checks that don't lie
- Autocomplete: type three letters in the App Store. Apple's suggestions come from real queries, per storefront. Phrase completes early = demand exists. Doesn't complete at all = every estimate for it is fan fiction.
- The popularity score itself, free in the Apple Search Ads console, no campaign needed, and it's per country, which matters enormously for localization since the same concept scores wildly differently across storefronts.
- Your own impressions: the ground truth. Rank on a term, then watch search impressions. Rank #8 with impressions flat? The demand was never there, whatever the estimate said. This is the check that retires debates: volume estimates predict; impressions confirm.
Demand is a hypothesis until the funnel agrees
The whole game in one sentence: popularity scores and volume estimates choose which keywords to try; your own funnel decides which ones were real. A keyword that looked like a 40 and moved nothing gets replaced at week six; a modest 15 that quietly feeds installs earns its slot forever. FunnelHound sits on the confirm side (search impressions, installs and purchases from App Store Connect, milestone on the day the new keywords shipped), so the estimates stay accountable to the only counter that pays.
Estimates propose. Impressions dispose.
FunnelHound shows whether the keyword actually delivered: search impressions to installs to money, from App Store Connect.
Get FunnelHoundData notes: popularity score behavior per Apple Search Ads as of 2026; the logarithmic-ish reading and the 10–50 indie band are practitioner consensus, not Apple documentation. Third-party volume models change methodology without notice. Compare within one tool only.